There's a 70% chance this question will close with a yes.

resolved Sep 27

Resolved

ALL

in a week, i will use this JavaScript code to choose whether to resolve as 'yes' or 'no':

CHOICE = Math.random()>0.3?"Yes":"No";
console.log(CHOICE);

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will this question resolve above 50%?

4mur1c4

50% chance

Will this question close above 50%?

Simon Vana

50% chance

Will this question close below 57%?

Tundra XD

56% chance

Will this question close above 70%?

Zalen Zed

47% chance

Will the CSU get more than 42%?

Marktweise

18% chance

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Nathan Young

66% chance

Will the world become more secular in the next World Values Survey?

cshunter

71% chance

By 2025, will Paul Christiano have updated his P(AGI doom) to over 50%?

Embedded Agent

29% chance

Will this question have a lower than 90% chance of resolving to "yes" when it closes?

lukres

88% chance

Can this question remain open indefinitely?

Franek Żak

10% chance

Will the first option submitted in a free response question start out at <50% before the end of October?

Plasma Ballin'

32% chance

Will this question have a percentage <50% after one day?

Dieter Rasse

56% chance

What percentage of people will believe in god on the next poll by Gallup International?

Kirby Iwaki

Will at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES?

Vincent Luczkow

81% chance

Will somebody clone this question?

MrLuke255

85% chance

Will the running prediction go below 50% for at least 24 hours?

sophia

50% chance

What percentage of movies nominated for best picture will be options in the linked market? (read description)

Dylan Slagh

59% chance

What % of alignment forum karma will be pro-interpetability vs anti this year?

Jono

73% chance

Will 100 or more people bet on this question?

Tobias Sowaaed

98% chance

(Poll) Will this resolve to the first or second option of a yet-to-be-made poll?

Pat Scott🩴

80% chance

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Peter Eater of Pumpkins	Ṁ29
2	Alex Evers	Ṁ21
3	ManualBlinking	Ṁ21

Sort by:

the answer is: no

Related questions

Will this question resolve above 50%?

4mur1c4

50% chance

Will this question close above 50%?

Simon Vana

50% chance

Will this question close below 57%?

Tundra XD

56% chance

Will this question close above 70%?

Zalen Zed

47% chance

Will the CSU get more than 42%?

Marktweise

18% chance

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Nathan Young

66% chance

Will the world become more secular in the next World Values Survey?

cshunter

71% chance

By 2025, will Paul Christiano have updated his P(AGI doom) to over 50%?

Embedded Agent

29% chance

Will this question have a lower than 90% chance of resolving to "yes" when it closes?

lukres

88% chance

Can this question remain open indefinitely?