Will any of the four big chains carry a pizza with vegan crust, sauce, and cheese available in most of their locations by the end of December 2024?
The big four chains are currently Dominoes, Pizza Hut, Little Caesar's, and Papa John's; if a new pizza place knocks one of these out of the top four, the new chain will be eligible to resolve this as YES if it offers an eligible pizza.
Will we actually get good enough data on this? Is there a good source for estimating the current situation?
Anyway, it doesn't seem at all unlikely but I believe there are enough rural stores that are highly unlikely to get this anytime soon.

@HenriThunberg I've generally found that the US vegan community is pretty good at mapping out what's available where.
As far as rural locations are concerned, my guess is that the most likely solution is a chain using an already existing vegan crust and sauce with frozen Diaya cheese (or similar), so there doesn't need to be much in the way of added costs for a rural location -- and rural locations are also more likely to grab a big chunk of the local vegan market with any offering provided.

@Duncan Every Burger King in the country serves Impossible burgers. Dayia is available in most grocery stores in even rural areas. There's no reason to think a major national chain could not use a widely available vegan cheese brand.
It seems really odd to me that it isn't already. Domino's has vegan pizza for years already in Germany.

Does the pizza need to have cheese substitute to count? Is a cheeseless vegan pizza good enough?



@Odoacre I am insisting on the presence of cheese because it was stated that the pizza needed cheese in the original description, and lots of people have placed bets under the assumption that it was required. I'm not a super supporter of the idea that pizza needs cheese, but it's a bit late to change now.

@Duncan I also think it’s in the spirit of ‘vegan pizza’ at a large national chain. You want their regular offering but vegan.


As far as I can see, cheese is the limiting resource. Most chains now offer at least one kind of vegan crust and some of them offer some kind of plant based meat (Little Caesar and Pizza Hut). Vegan cheese is available at many non-top chains so I wouldn’t be surprised if this caught on fairly soon. Though I’m still amazed that Starbucks basically still doesn’t offer anything vegan to eat.

@NicoDelon Cheese is definitely the big barrier. To resolve YES, the pizza in question does not have to have any form of mock-meat.

@Duncan Yes, didn’t mean to suggest meat was part of the resolution criteria. It just goes to suggest that they might cast the net wider, beyond vegetarians and flexitarians.

@NicoDelon Yes - the Daiya pizzas are both vegan and gluten free, picking up two growing markets in one product.
How commonly are we talking here? If a fully vegan pizza was commonly available in a few major US cities (NYC, San Fran and LA, for example), but not really that much elsewhere, would that count?

@BenjiHorwell Nope - most of their locations means, broadly, if you go to a Pizza Hut you can reasonably expect to find vegan pizza, without having to Google which cities have it. However, if the exact data is available, I will resolve YES if 51% of the chain's locations in the US offer a vegan pizza.

To resolve yes it needs to be a permanent menu item not just a short duration promo/experiment right?

@A I'd certainly resolve this as YES for an experiment that was in place nationwide at the resolve date, under the assumption that any new menu item is an experiment, and that the point of the experiment would be to make it permanent if the experiment was a success.
However, I hadn't considered the possibility of a chain saying "we're doing this for two weeks, then it goes away"; that seems very low-probability, since you can't get new vegan customers to stick around if you take away the vegan option.
I /think/ I should count a New Year's Special vegan pizza as a valid YES resolution, although a very unlikely edge case. I am open to thoughts on this; the spirit of the question is that I, you, or pretty much anyone else (in the USA) should be able to access the pizza in question, and if it's available for just one day, that's a pretty limited interpretation of commonly available. But at the same time, the question does specify "by the end of 2024", and New Year's Eve is a reasonable interpretation of "by the end of 2024".
However, if you simply mean the case of a vegan pizza being introduced next month, failing quickly, and no longer being available at the end of 2024, that would resolve as a NO.
How will this not resolve yes, veganism seems so probably in the US, also most locations = the majority? we should be lobbying to make this happen!








