What statement will I think you don't believe that I believe, but I do?
11
Ṁ620Ṁ151resolved May 30
59%0.8%
Artificial intelligence will kill us all
41%0.5%
Pineapple on pizza is good
22%Other
0.0%
I believe that @Duncan believes this statement.
0.0%
I don't believe that @Duncan believes this statement.
5%
I rolled a die today.
5%
I didn't roll a die today.
6%
God exists
6%
Bitcoin was invented by a government agency
0.6%
Aliens have already landed
7%
OJ Simpson was innocent of murder
3%
Justin Trudeau's birth father is Fidel Castro
4%
Jeanne Calment is a fraud
0.7%
United flight 93 was shot down by the US government
11%
Climate change is not worth worrying about
28%
We do not live in a simulation
Post a statement. If I believe it is true, but I think that most people would guess that I do not believe that it is true, I will chose it as a correct answer. (I will not count your posting it as evidence that you, or people in general, believe it of me).
If I do not know or understand what you are talking about, I will not count it as true.
You are welcome to present arguments to change (?) my mind to a less probable state, but I don't promise to read everything, or persist if things are boring or confusing.
I may comment on my beliefs on request, but I might not; obviously, too much of that would spoil the game.
This market targets conscious beliefs, not unknown beliefs or aliefs.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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