"CR" will count as any legislation that avoids a government shutdown.
The time used for this market will be the announced vote results in the second chamber to pass the bill. In the case of unanimous passage without a roll call vote, discretion will be used to determine the time.
The market will resolve on the first CR to pass both chambers, without modification (i.e. the House passing something and the Senate then modifying it and passsing it WILL NOT COUNT -- the hypothetical modified bill must then be passed by the House for it to count for this market).
The President signing the bill will not have any bearing on this market.
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@TeryakiBois As someone who holds a lot of SHUTDOWN YES shares, I pray that you are correct!
@TeryakiBois I do believe the handful that facilitated getting rid of Kevin have been chastened by the experience. But that said, I don't think "Jesus, take the wheel" is a great strategy for avoiding a shutdown.