How many votes in the Senate for a continuing resolution by March 14?
7
275Ṁ1482
Mar 18
87%
59 or fewer
5%
60 to 62
1%
63 to 65
0.9%
66 to 68
0.8%
69 to 71
0.7%
72 to 74
0.7%
75 to 77
0.7%
78 to 80
0.7%
81 to 83
0.7%
84 to 86
0.7%
87 or more

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of members of the U.S. Senate who vote in favor of passage of a continuing resolution, also referred to as continuing appropriations, to fund federal agencies subsequent to the launch of this market on February 28, 2025, and by the End Date listed below.

A general "omnibus" appropriations bill that is not a continuing resolution shall not be a qualifying bill for purposes of this market. For purposes of this market, it is not necessary for an identical qualifying bill to be passed by the House of Representatives.

Should more than one such vote be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote shall be used to resolve this market. Should no such vote conclude by the End Date, or should the first such vote result in the rejection of the motion via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "59 or fewer" shall resolve to Yes. Should such vote result in the passage of the motion via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "87 or more" shall resolve as Yes.

Any vote cast by the Vice President shall not be considered for purposes of this market.

The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market. The official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source, shall be used to resolve this market. Provided that, once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by any Senator to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or any other official source.

End Date: 03/14/2025 11:59 PM (ET)

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For those confused about the 62-38 vote, that was on cloture, not the actual vote. The market states that “The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.”

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