Denise Ton Tiussi's calibration
Grade: B, Score: -1.67
Resolution probability
Probability after bet
Interpretation
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when Denise Ton Tiussi bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
YES bets
NO bets
3 largest bets for each bucket
30%
40%
50%
- Will Trump be charged by the DoJ by the end of 2022 for crimes related to removing documents from the White House to his home Mar-a-Lago? NOṀ10
- Will the current monkeypox outbreak lead to >5 infections in wild animals?NOṀ10
- Will Vargas Torres beat Gualaceo SC during regular time on Wed, Apr 10, 2024?⚽ Liga Pro Serie B 🇪🇨YESṀ10
60%
70%
80%
90%