Ogi Ogas has made a bold claim on his Substack today, Feb 28, 2025: he will reveal a grand unifying theory for the nature of reality, on Monday:

The core accounting of how and why the universe exists, how and why we are here. How it all works, in plainspoken words anyone can follow and understand.The explanation of the great mystery is a form of Grand Unification, that supreme theory or perspective that scientists have been tirelessly and fruitlessly hunting for, transcendent knowledge that explains all that is and was and will be.

https://ogiogas.substack.com/p/how-can-nothing-change-into-something

I've been reading this man's writing, and my assessment is that this is real. I think what he will write about is going to be genuinely novel & paradigm shifting once it gets reviewed & spreads. I'd like to register my prediction publicly of this as having been one of the earliest people to spot it.

This market will resolve to YES if ALL the following researchers read it & publicly admit it blew their mind / that the announcement post was NOT hype. If (any of them) say it is interesting or novel but not a good contender for "grand theory" it will resolve to NO.

Researchers who have committed to reading it & giving an objective opinion:

• Andrés Gómez-Emilsson, President & Director of Research at Qualia Research institute, https://qri.org/ - (https://x.com/algekalipso/status/1895588938217373916)

• Ben S, Materials scientist, top 40 all-time in profit on Manifold, (https://manifold.markets/bens)

• Park Doing, Science & Technology Studies, PhD Cornell, retired 2022 https://ethics.engineering.cornell.edu/archives/retired-staff/

For a quick intro to Ogi's work, I think his "how conciousness is made" (https://ogiogas.substack.com/p/how-consciousness-is-made-part-i) is a simple/accessible explanation but aligns with everyone who is at the frontier of consciousness research (in my opinion)