Will I lose twenty pounds by September?
14
resolved Sep 1
Resolved
NO

Update: Lost 19 Pounds

Have gained around 20 lbs over the past six months, mostly due to work stress eating. Am going on a new diet, plan on getting a personal trainer, taking Adderall again, beeminders - the works. I will weigh myself on September 1st and if I am not ~20 lbs lighter than I am now (215) I will resolve this market no. I plan to heavily bet YES at slightly above my personal opinion of success.

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DeanValentine avatar
Milford Hammerschmidtpredicted YES

196 pounds on the dot. Missed it by a fucking hair

1 reply
JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithpredicted NO

@DeanValentine Ugh. I’m sorry to have won mana off your suffering, but not so sorry that I’ll stop.

DeanValentine avatar
Milford Hammerschmidtbought Ṁ10 of YES

So I didn't do anything I said I would in the description, and was like 210ish at the start of the month, but I did start water fasting on and off over the last few weeks. I didn't think I was going to make it, but I'm already 198 pounds so I might just slip under the 195 mark in the next few days. WML

CarverJerome avatar
Carver Jerome
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YorkDamon avatar
York Damon
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JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithbought Ṁ25 of NO

My apologies for betting against you; think of it as me subsidizing your success. I’m going to point out that as written, this only resolves YES if you’re ~20lbs under your current weight. If you lose ~30lbs, this should resolve NO as currently written despite that being more weight loss than you’d hoped for.

6 replies
JimHays avatar
Jim Hayspredicted NO

Nah, if you’re 30 lbs lighter you’re also 20 lbs lighter, 10 lbs lighter, etc. Your interpretation doesn’t match the spirit, and I don’t think it matches the letter either.

DeanValentine avatar
Milford Hammerschmidtpredicted YES

@JohnSmithb9be then I lost 20+10 lbs

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithpredicted NO

@DeanValentine “I used to weigh 210lbs and now I weigh 160lbs. I lost 20lbs.” I do agree it doesn’t match the spirit of the market, though.

JimHays avatar
Jim Hayspredicted NO

If you were making your bet based on this interpretation, you should probably have clarified first and bet second

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithpredicted NO

@JimHays No, I wasn’t. I believe that markets should be as specific as possible to avoid drama, though, and pointing out inconsistencies helps with that goal.

JimHays avatar
Jim Hayspredicted NO

That’s fair, though maybe you could have instead asked if Dean meant to include “at least” in the description