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Will Taylor Swift Perform at the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show
11
1kṀ9938resolved Feb 10
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
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This market predicts whether Taylor Swift will perform (sing) during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show on February 9, 2025. "Perform" is defined as singing at least a portion of a song live on the field or stage during the Halftime Show itself. Speaking, dancing, or other non-singing appearances do not count. Pre-recorded video performances or appearances and pre-game or post-game shows also do not count. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift performs (sings) as defined above. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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