Will be somewhat subjective, open to tweaks to market definitions.

Will I conclude at the end of 2024 that the current strategy of busing undocumented immigrants from border red states to blue states had, at some point, shifted to also target swing states as well?

My intent is to resolve YES if I think that at least one red state governor has sent meaningful numbers of buses of undocumented immigrants / migrants / refugees etc to a state that prediction markets, 538, or similar sources would call a swing state . A token number of buses to get eg brief media coverage does not count; this has to be a meaningful aspect of the strategy of that governor in comparison to the total number of buses they are sending.

Will resolve N/A in the event that this question becomes incoherent or unclear (eg, somehow a third party run is significant enough that I judge the concept of swing states to not be coherent in the 2024 electoral map).

Will not trade personally on market.

Edit: To avoid a potential unintuitive rules outcome, I want to clarify that I do not intend to count routine activities between border swing states (eg Arizona) and border red states that are similar in scope to a pre-2023 world as sufficient evidence for YES. If this would have changed any of the 3 current positions on this market as of time of this edit, message me and I'll refund you your trade via Managram.