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MANIFOLD
2026 Winter Olympics: Which country will finish SECOND in the medal table?
25
Ṁ500Ṁ1.8k
resolved Feb 22
100%88%
United States
0.3%
Norway
4%
Italy
0.4%
Germany
0.3%
Austria
0.6%
France
0.3%
Sweden
0.4%
Netherlands
0.3%
Switzerland
0.3%
Japan
0.3%
Canada
0.3%
Great Britain
0.3%
Czechia
0.3%
Slovenia
0.3%
South Korea
0.3%
Australia
0.3%
China
0.3%
Finland
2%
Two or more countries tied
0.3%Other

Resolution Criteria

The market resolves to the National Olympic Committee (NOC) that finishes SECOND in the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano Cortina, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026. NOCs will be ranked first by the number of gold medals, then by the number of silver medals, then by the number of bronze medals. If two or more countries tie on all metrics, the market will resolve to "Two or more countries tied". Resolution will be based on official medal counts from the International Olympic Committee.

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