Nope: out of those two, the max download number was 1,351.

Any recent data you can share with us @DanielFilan?

@chrisjbillington Out of the two most recent episodes, the max of the download numbers is 1336

New episode! https://axrp.net/episode/2023/11/26/episode-26-ai-governance-elizabeth-seger.html

How's it looking for your interview with Caspar?

@RobertCousineau Under 2k downloads.

@DanielFilan haha, by how much? I see on youtube it has 17% the views of your interview with Jan, so if I do very dumb extrapolation taking into account no where near the variables it should, I'd estimate it has ~600 downloads?

Also, do you have a list of expected guest for the rest of the year?

@RobertCousineau I don't want to be super specific but it's not very close to 2k downloads. I'd also dispute your calculation: all earlier episodes this year have >600 downloads, but one has fewer YouTube views than Caspar's episode.

No list of expected guests for the rest of the year, but I do hope to release one further episode - not more because of focussing on the thesis.

See also https://manifold.markets/DanielFilan/will-a-new-episode-of-axrp-get-3000 and https://manifold.markets/DanielFilan/will-any-axrp-episode-released-in-2

Will a new episode of AXRP get >3,000 downloads in 2023?

51% chance. AXRP is the AI X-risk Research Podcast - found wherever podcasts are distributed, and transcripts available at axrp.net. So far, there have been 6 proper episodes of AXRP this year. Here is the download numbers for each one in the first 30 days, sorted by download count and without episode names attached: 3,524 2,420 1,473 1,249 981 959 Will any as-yet-unreleased episode of AXRP get >3,000 downloads this year? Notes: I'm asking about total downloads by the end of the year, not downloads in the first 30 days (altho most episodes get most of their downloads in that period). I'm talking about IAB downloads, not raw downloads. The distinction is explained here, but tl;dr it's trying to filter out spam/fake downloads. I am planning on releasing more episodes this year, but it's possible the pace will slow down as I work on my thesis.