![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FDanMan314%252Fc465081d881c.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Upon release, I (or anyone else with access) will give Stable Diffusion 3 the prompt "Exactly N circles on a white background", and generate 4 images.
I will start with N = 1. If 2/4 or more of the images have N (no more, no less) roughly circular shapes, I will increment N by 1.
I will repeat this until less than 2 of the images have N roughly circular shapes. This market will resolve to the option that contains N-1.
For example, if when I ask for 21 circular shapes, Stable Diffusion produces 1 image that contains 21 circles, and 3 images that contain the wrong number of circles, this market will resolve to the "16-20" option. I will count any circle which is more than half contained in the image, and not count any that are more than half cut off.
For context, this is DALLE-2 with N=5:
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2Fh3KrHcEsq1.png?alt=media&token=007ae1e6-2af5-4217-ad59-368a0260fafd)
Image 1: 6 circles, does not count.
Image 2: 4 circles, does not count.
Image 3: 5 circles (with 2 cut off more than half), would count
Image 4: 4 circles, would not count.
Note that I'm giving some leeway for the concentric circles in image #3.
So this would be 1/4, and DALLE-2 cannot count to 5.
Other Clarifications:
I'll use "circle" for n=1
Half the circle by area. I'm just going to eyeball it though.
See the previous version of this market for DALLE-3: /DanMan314/how-high-can-dalle3-count
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ21 | |
2 | Ṁ15 | |
3 | Ṁ12 | |
4 | Ṁ7 | |
5 | Ṁ1 |
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FsXZ4qyACJ0.png?alt=media&token=bafbf759-bbe8-4a8d-8813-5b60fa168903)
Stable Diffusion 3 is out! I'll be testing out this and other prompts soon! Check out the dashboard here: https://manifold.markets/news/stable-diffusion-3