Upon release, I (or anyone else with access) will give Stable Diffusion 3 the prompt "Exactly N circles on a white background", and generate 4 images.

I will start with N = 1. If 2/4 or more of the images have N (no more, no less) roughly circular shapes, I will increment N by 1.

I will repeat this until less than 2 of the images have N roughly circular shapes. This market will resolve to the option that contains N-1.

For example, if when I ask for 21 circular shapes, Stable Diffusion produces 1 image that contains 21 circles, and 3 images that contain the wrong number of circles, this market will resolve to the "16-20" option. I will count any circle which is more than half contained in the image, and not count any that are more than half cut off.

For context, this is DALLE-2 with N=5:

Image 1: 6 circles, does not count.

Image 2: 4 circles, does not count.

Image 3: 5 circles (with 2 cut off more than half), would count

Image 4: 4 circles, would not count.

Note that I'm giving some leeway for the concentric circles in image #3.

So this would be 1/4, and DALLE-2 cannot count to 5.

**Other Clarifications:**

I'll use "circle" for n=1

Half the circle by area. I'm just going to eyeball it though.

See the previous version of this market for DALLE-3: /DanMan314/how-high-can-dalle3-count

Stable Diffusion 3 is out! I'll be testing out this and other prompts soon! Check out the dashboard here: https://manifold.markets/news/stable-diffusion-3