πŸ‹ vs 🐟: Will Whales bet more consistently than Minnows?
Basic
10
αΉ€3104
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
YES

Rules:

This market remains open until one of the two following resolution conditions conditions are met:

  1. 36 hours goes by in which there is not a trade in the YES direction of αΉ€100 or more.

  1. 36 hours goes by in which there are not at least 3 trades from unique traders in the NO direction.

If condition 1 is met, the Whales have failed, and this market resolves NO.

If condition 2 is met, the Minnows have failed, and this market resolves YES.

For Whales: If you are committed enough, your investment is risk free! Just stop by and deposit your αΉ€100 once a day and eventually collect your windfall of cash.

For Minnows: If you can get a small group to band together, your investment is risk free! Just be sure to trade together once a day, and eventually collect your windfall of cash.

Fine Print:

  • API based trades, and any trades by bots, don't count

  • Limit orders don’t count, whether it’s when they are set up or filled. They can still be set, they just don’t impact resolution.

  • Sells are fine (and can happen any time), but don't count towards the trade total regardless of what type of share is sold. They do not negate any previous trades.

  • Alts are not allowed. If there's ambiguity on what's an alt I will defer to moderators

  • "Unique traders" means unique for that day, not unique in the overall market

  • The close date will be indefinitely extended until a resolution condition is met

  • The 3 unique traders are evaluated from the first trade in the set. For example, if there are trades from 23, 18, and 1 hours ago, that counts. If there are trades from 37, 18, and 1 hour ago, that doesn't.

Get
αΉ€1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought αΉ€1 NO

@Fion sorry everybody, I made a terrible mistake

jackson polackboughtαΉ€1NO

@jacksonpolack Isn't this the 3rd latest unique NO buy at the moment? Sells don't count, limit orders don't count. So it's only Dan and James O at the moment?

@Fedor Yup, resolves YES.

@DanMan314 too soon, these resolve faster than I'd thought

@Fedor Yea interesting this one resolved the other way. Not quite enough energy on the minnow side, idk

@DanMan314 I fought hard!

@DanMan314 oh, so was it determined YES as soon as Jackson's trade was 36 hours old?

@Fion Yup. as soon as the 3rd most recent NO trade hits 36 hours the market is over.

So all it takes is 4 committed people (1 YES and 3 NO) and the market literally never ends? Sounds dangerous. I'm in!

bought αΉ€100 YES from 85% to 88%
MinKsoldαΉ€1NO
reposted

Once again, only 6ish hours until the minnows lose!

Jes WolfeboughtαΉ€2NO
reposted

Just 3 hours left until the minnows lose!

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