Gold is 31 July above 4150$ or no

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the spot price of gold (XAU/USD) closes strictly above $4,150.00 USD on July 31, 2026. It will resolve to NO otherwise.

The resolution will be based on the daily candle closing price for July 31, 2026, as displayed on the TradingView XAU/USD (Gold Spot) chart.

• Source of Truth: TradingView (XAUUSD spot price daily close).

• Fallback: If TradingView is unavailable, the Kitco Gold Spot Price daily close (New York Close) for July 31, 2026, will be used as the secondary source of truth.

Background

Gold prices have seen significant volatility throughout 2026, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, fluctuations in energy prices, and shifting expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate policy. As of late July 2026, spot gold is trading in the range of approximately $4,070 to $4,100 per ounce, having recently corrected from higher levels earlier in the year. Traders are watching to see if a late-month rally can push prices back above the $4,150 threshold.

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