The New York Times has written, "American officials had concluded that she was a Chinese intelligence asset". The evidence given: "This account is based on interviews with people briefed on the surveillance, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the findings are drawn from classified intelligence, as well as other officials and industry executives and analysts." https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/29/us/politics/nvidia-china-jensen-huang-trump.html

This evidentiary standard is approximately as strong as that behind the allegations that Iraq was developing weapons of mass destruction and that there is a video recording of Trump watching hookers pee-pee on a bed.

This market will resolve YES if China says that she is a Chinese spy, or conclusive message intercepts are produced, or similarly conclusive evidence emerges before the market deadline.