@CoreyHayden Should this be closed already? Seems like it would be more interesting to predict if the close date were extended until we're likely to know the answer.

@EvanDaniel

Thanks, I extended it. Still learning how to use the platform!

@CoreyHayden No worries! Let me know if you have any questions!

From the data on the post, the average is 12.37, and SD is 6.16
So, from the test(norm. dist) there is 67% chance that Boston will record a snowfall of at least 15 inches on a single day.

https://manifold.markets/DanielRohrer/will-there-be-a-white-christmas-in?r=RGFuaWVsUm9ocmVy

Will there be a White Christmas in more than 30% of the United States on 12/25/23?

34% chance. For reference, here are the last 6 years of data, over which the average is 34.4%: 2022: 53% White Christmas 2021: 26.6% 2020: 26.5% 2019: 28.1% 2018: 24.6% 2017: 49% This will be determined by the results on NOAA's website: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/