Will Père David's Deer (Elaphurus davidianus) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will Père David's Deer (Elaphurus davidianus) become extinct in the current century?

4

180Ṁ207

2099

25%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Père David's Deer, a.k.a. Milu or Elaphure, is a species of deer native to the subtropical river valleys of China. This market will resolve YES if Père David's Deer is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P%C3%A8re_David%27s_deer

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Extinct in the Wild
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/7121/22159785

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions

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