Is Prometheum primarily a USA federal government operation?

Question

Resolves YES if there is sufficient evidence to conclude that USA federal government (including agencies like the FTC) was directly the main reason for Prometheum's operations, NO if there is sufficient evidence to eliminate that option and N/A if it cannot be determined at market close.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 34% chance (2 traders, as of Jul 3, 2023).

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