Will the %chance displayed at close exceed number of yes positions * number of no positions
27
510Ṁ11kresolved Jun 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is a tie, claim wil be resolved no.
Some examples:
If there are 11 yes and 11 no positions at close, this claim will be resolved no regardless of % chance displayed at close because % chance cannot reach 121%.
If there are 20 yes and 0 no positions at close, this claim will be resolved yes if % chance displayed is 0.1% or more
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ6,336 | |
| 2 | Ṁ342 | |
| 3 | Ṁ134 | |
| 4 | Ṁ75 | |
| 5 | Ṁ53 |