The main reason Democrats are at a deficit in the Electoral College is their excessive margins in large states like NY and CA.

Define the "Adjusted Popular Margin" to cap the margin of each state to 1 Million.

Then this generally aligns with the Electoral College:

2020 Actual:

Biden by 7,059,526 (4.46%)

2020 Adjusted:

Biden by 1,713,883 (~1.1%) which is much closer to the tipping point of Wisconsin (0.63%)

2016 Actual:

Clinton by 2,868,691 (2.10%)

2016 Adjusted:

Trump by 1,137,877 (~0.85%) which is closer to PA (0.72%)

2012 Actual:

Obama by 4,982,291 (3.86%)

2012 Adjusted:

Obama by 2,234,373 (~1.8%) now underestimates CO (5.36%)

Matches up with 2000, 2004, and 2008 winners.