Will someone other than Biden, Harris, Buttigieg, or Newsom receive the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
72
70k
Nov 5
3%
chance

Resolves YES if the Democratic nominee is someone other than Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, or Gavin Newsom.

Long overdue disambiguation: this refers to who the Democrats put on the ballot in November. So, if there's a convention and Biden is nominated, it can still resolve YES if something happens between then and November, and the Democrats put forward someone else who isn't mentioned in the title.

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predicts NO

I’ve added a long overdue clarification to the description.