I'll resolve this to the average number of unique betters (including me) across the five markets. So if each market receives 10 unique betters, it'll resolve to 10.
Here are the two most recent markets:
https://manifold.markets/Charlie/how-many-pomodoros-will-i-do-over-t
and
https://manifold.markets/Charlie/will-i-get-my-apple-watch-move-and
The next two markets seem likely to be related to personal goals, but there's also a chance that they'll be futarchy/startup related (~10% chance?), current events related (~5% chance?), US soccer related (~10% chance?), or... something else.
I'll try to close this market as soon as soon as I close the last of the two future markets. If I forget to close it ASAP, I suppose I'll still count any unique bettors on this one betting with complete info.
I'll extend this close date if I haven't closed the next two markets by the end of the month.
Aug 1, 12:28pm: Apologies for not noting-- I will be betting on this market.
Aug 1, 10:04pm: The first market to resolve, https://manifold.markets/Charlie/how-many-pomodoros-will-i-do-over-t, has resolved with 3 unique bettors.
Aug 8, 12:59pm: Second market resolves to three unique bettors: Will I get my Apple Watch Move and Exercise rings 6/7 days this week (410cal/40min) AND 6/7 days next week (420cal/45min) | Manifold Markets
Close date updated to 2022-08-14 11:59 pm
Aug 14, 7:38pm: https://manifold.markets/Charlie/will-i-do-at-least-11-pomodoros-tod this market resolved with 2 unique bettors.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ5 |