Will M2 Pro or M2 Max processors be 3nm chips?
57
91
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resolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO

There are reports that TSMC began 3nm chip production in September 2022. The original expected release date for M2 Pro and M2 Max MacBooks was October 2022, which suggested that they would use the existing 5nm process. However, since the release of the new MacBooks is later than expected, it's possible they will use the new 3nm process after all.

Resolves positively if either the M2 Pro or M2 Max chips are 3nm, negatively if they are not. Resolves N/A if these chips are not announced by the end of 2023 (which seems incredibly unlikely).

I might adjust the close date of the market if the announcement date is announced.

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predicted NO

For the record, I thought this was pretty obvious. The M2 launched with 5nm - why would Apple go with a drastically different chip design for the pro? Especially considering the M3 is probably launching later this year.

In addition, the timing didn’t really work out + this source https://twitter.com/mingchikuo/status/1561741744248860673?s=46&t=romkwyHRlEio1_1Lu5IVKA

The sources I could find that speculated 3nm all seemed like relatively low quality apple optimists.

predicted NO

@HoraceHe Also from Semianalysis: https://www.semianalysis.com/p/apple-m2-die-shot-and-architecture

Apple has already designed and taped out the M2 Pro and M2 Max which are still on N5 and A15 base IP.

predicted NO

@NiclasKupper not even 4? Lame.

TSMC started manufacturing these for Apple last week at their new facility in Taiwan.

@BTE Dang, actually those are the A17 chips.

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