In which month of 2024 will Apple reveal its first new iPad of the year
Basic
8
Ṁ4127
resolved May 7
100%98.2%
May
0.1%
January
0.1%
February
0.3%
March
0.3%
April
0.2%
June
0.1%
July
0.1%
August
0.1%
September
0.2%
October
0.2%
November
0.1%
December
0.1%
None in 2024

Definitions

  • month means the month in San Francisco as defined by https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/usa/san-francisco at the moment of reveal

  • reveal means releasing the product's price in the US. (e.g. releasing a photo of the product does not count) The release must be official. (e.g. a leak does not count)

  • new iPad means a previously unavailable product with the word "iPad" in the name that has a touchscreen larger than the Apple iPhone 13 Pro in inches diagonally. This product must differ from existing products in more than one property. (e.g. a new color for an existing iPad does not count)

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@Calvin6b82 iPads just released

Arbitrage opportunity with this market (which should roughly equal the inverse of “May“ here, instead of being higher): https://manifold.markets/RachelFreedman/will-apple-release-a-new-ipad-by-ma?r=Sm9uYXRoYW5NYW5uaGFydA

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