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MANIFOLD
Will SPY close above $750 on Monday, May 18, 2026?
0
Ṁ100
May 18
16%
chance

This market resolves YES if the regular-session closing price for SPY on Monday, May 18, 2026 is strictly above $750.00. Primary resolver: Yahoo Finance historical daily data for SPY. Use the official regular close, not pre-market, post-market, bid/ask, or intraday high/low. If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or clearly erroneous at resolution time, use another mainstream historical-price source for SPY's regular May 18 close, such as Nasdaq, NYSE Arca, Stooq, or MarketWatch. Resolve NO if SPY closes at $750.00 exactly or below, or if May 18 trading is cancelled and no official regular-session close exists. Creation context from Yahoo chart data: - Friday May 15 regular SPY close/price shown by Yahoo: $739.17 at 2026-05-15T20:00:00Z UTC. - Friday May 15 day high/low shown by Yahoo: $743.46 / $737.96. - Yahoo 52-week high shown at creation: $749.53. - Latest 1-minute post/regular sample seen at creation: $737.26 at 2026-05-15T23:59:57Z UTC. Sources: - Yahoo daily chart endpoint: https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/SPY?range=5d&interval=1d - Yahoo intraday chart endpoint: https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/SPY?range=1d&interval=1m&includePrePost=true

Market context
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