How many OpenAI employee letter-signers will recant? (EOY2024)
Mini
8
283
2025
23%
0
27%
1-5
14%
5-10
9%
10-25
9%
25-50
9%
50-100
6%
100-350
3%
350+

740+/770 OpenAI employees reportedly signed a letter asking the board to resign and reverse Sam Altman's firing.

On the other hand...


Employees are counted as recanting if by end of 2024:
- they remove or ask that their name is removed from the letter
- they express that they no longer support Helen/Adam/Tasha being removed (ignoring whether Ilya should be removed here given he's a bit of an edge case)
- they express that they no longer support Sam Altman being reinstated
- they express that the board in fact acted reasonably/in good faith in their initial actions or relative silence
- they express that inertia, peer pressure, fear, or monetary considerations were a more significant factor in their signing than agreement with the substance of the letter

They are not counted if:
- their change in de facto position merely reflects a changed status quo (e.g. if the board stays as part of a compromise, they are are allowed to merely support that compromise; they are allowed to say a new CEO is doing a good job and should stay after some time on the job)

I won't bet.

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