Will @GavrielK's post "Indoor Air Quality to Reduce Infectious Respiratory Disease" win first or second place in the Cause Exploration Prizes?
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@Gigacasting Market much less efficient than you think. And no reason to think it would price in a bunch of externalities eg existential catastrophes. Also why would schools, workplaces etc pay a bunch without regulatory pressure? (non-profits v useful here).
Anyway, EA ≠ non-profit only (I'm probs more bullis on for-profit EA than most).
Open Phil might not pick it as this research seems to have already been funded by ftx & ideas already talked about elsewhere (iirc)
@Gigacasting To be clear, our recommendations are not about exclusive nonprofit funding! Pretty straightforward case in the report for a nonprofit to kick-start a project picked up by govt and private business, close funding gaps, or act as a multiplier through advocacy. And the field is definitely not crowded in some important respects; George is right about the market being less efficient than you think—there are large information gaps between relevant parties.