Will any country have an official holiday called Rationalussy Day in 2024?
Will any country have an official holiday called Rationalussy Day in 2024?
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1kṀ2580resolved Jan 3
Resolved
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It must be declared as a holiday before the end of 2024. It still counts if it is declared as a holiday after the day actually takes place in 2024, e.g., if the U.S. declares June 9 to be "National Rationalussy Day," and the declaration is passed on July 9, it would still count as Yes.
It also counts if there is something else added to the official name (like "National" in the example) or if it is a variation like "Day of Rationalussy", as long as the name still has "Rationalussy" in it.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.