Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on Nancy Guthrie's status as of March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from law enforcement (Pima County Sheriff's Department, FBI, or other official sources) or credible news reporting from major outlets (CNN, NBC News, AP, Reuters, etc.).

• Returned alive: Nancy Guthrie is found alive and confirmed to be in the custody of family or authorities.

• Returned dead: Nancy Guthrie's remains are recovered and confirmed through official identification.

• Not returned: No confirmation of Nancy Guthrie's location or status by the deadline.

Background

Nancy Guthrie, 84-year-old mother of NBC News journalist and Today co-anchor Savannah Guthrie, was reported missing from her home in Catalina Foothills, Arizona on February 1, 2026. Evidence found at the residence indicated foul play, prompting a criminal investigation. Bloodstains found at the scene were determined to be Guthrie's. Authorities have stated that Guthrie, who has limited mobility and requires daily medication, did not leave voluntarily and is considered a vulnerable adult. Multiple alleged ransom notes demanding payment in cryptocurrency have been reported by media outlets and are under investigation. As of Thursday, Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos said he believed that Nancy was "still out there," though authorities have not received evidence that provided proof of life.

Considerations

Family pleas have failed to yield proof that Guthrie is alive. The investigation is ongoing with no confirmed suspects or proof of life as of February 7, 2026. The deadline of March 1st provides approximately 3 weeks from the current date for resolution.

This description was generated by AI.