Will Matt Gaetz be confirmed by the Senate to become the Attorney General of the US?
➕
Plus
35
Ṁ6127
2025
36%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

This is a 4D chess move by Trump, who has assembled a very smart set of advisors and supporters. Political capital will be used to oppose Gaetz, the most obvious target of Senate scrutiny, allowing all of Trump's other appointments to go through. Matty will probably end up in a role that doesn't require Senate approval in the end.

@AlQuinn yes... yes of course! Appointing the accused child molester as AG is not a sign of unbounded delusion, depravity, and narcissism but is in fact (checks notes) a masterclass of strategic thinking by the most stable genius of our era! Calling it 4-D chess is too modest, it would be more appropriate to call it 10-dimensional - no wait (scribbles incoherently and draws a smiley face on a napkin)... 11-dimensional chess.

@Balasar lol, everything about your reply indicates that you not only don't understand my point but have also fallen victim to the very tactic being employed. Can't wait for 4 more years of what misunderestimation will get us.

bought Ṁ50 YES

There's a bit too much ambiguity in this question. What if he withdraws? He won't be confirmed, but he also won't be rejected. What if he gets hit by a bus? Which administration are we talking about?

@JohnFuller next 4 months. If he withdraws then resolves No.

Would a recess appoint suffice?

@Fay42 No a recess appointment would not suffice. This question is about what the Senate does.

What is the timeline? Ever AG in his entire life?

@KevinBurke End of March 2025

bought Ṁ250 NO

Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R., Alaska) echoed the surprise. “This one was not on my bingo card,” she said, adding that she believes the pick isn’t “serious.” WSJ

Senator Susan Collins, Republican of Maine and a moderate in the G.O.P., said she was “shocked” by Trump’s nomination of Gaetz — and expressed relief that the Senate maintains the ability to block him.

“I was shocked by the announcement — that shows why the advise-and-consent process is so important,” Collins said, adding that “I’m sure that there will be a lot of questions raised at his hearing.”

"Senator Susan Collins, Republican of Maine and a moderate in the G.O.P., said she was “shocked” by Trump’s nomination of Gaetz — and expressed relief that the Senate maintains the ability to block him.

“I was shocked by the announcement — that shows why the advise-and-consent process is so important,” Collins said, adding that “I’m sure that there will be a lot of questions raised at his hearing.”" from NYTimes Nov 13

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules