These publications: PC Gamer, Kotaku, Polygon, IGN, eurogamer
Background: There is a controversy online over whether it is okay to support the game because it is JK Rowling's IP so many are arguing that buying the game supports her.
Publications have all been chosen arbitrarily by what I consider to be popular gaming publications. I will not add or remove any publications from this list. If any of these publications doesn't post a review within one week of release I will resolve this market YES. If Hogwarts Legacy is delayed I will extend the closing time of the market until it releases.
Unscored reviews count, whether the review is in video form or text it counts as long as it's clear that it is meant to be a review (explicitly said to be a review in some way).
I will not bet in this market.
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@PatMyron I think they should count because under the literal interpretation they should, and I just didn't account for them when making the market.
@Brooke Itโs alright. Do you think it was a good bet in expectation? Seems like one of the reviews was on the last day, and your timeline of a week was somewhat arbitrary - that makes me think perhaps it was unexpected?
@Conflux I would have bet a lot more on yes myself if I hadn't said I wouldn't bet. I do think the regional variants of the publications kind of took away the market from what I intended but that's just what happens.
I do feel as in the spirit of what I wanted to ask this basically resolved yes, but I wasn't specific enough in it. I also think the review on the last day is a bit of bad luck, at first I wanted to make the market resolve maybe on the release date or a little after review embargo but I didn't think people would value that appropriately.
Games journalism standard is pretty much to release your review within minutes of the review embargo being lifted (at least for bigger publications). Kotaku and Polygon have both not posted reviews yet.
Will very likely end up with one (likely neither) posting a review in time and the market resolving yes imo.
@Brooke does this IGN review not count? https://www.ign.com/articles/hogwarts-legacy-review-harry-potter-ps5-xbox-pc
@Firechyld This market resolves yes if any publication listed out of five does not post a review by the close date. Currently Kotaku and Polygon both would need to post a review for this to resolve no, I apologize if the wording was confusing.
@Brooke I guess actually Kotaku Australia has posted a review now so we'd just need polygon unless I arbitrarily say that Kotaku Australia and Eurogamer Portugese don't count