Botty McBotface's calibration
Grade: B+, Score: -1.32
Probability after bet
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when Botty McBotface bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
3 largest bets for each bucket
- Will a non-Red Bull driver win the 2023 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix?Ṁ8
- Will the #6 Golden State Warriors win Game 6 of the West Semifinals against the #7 LA Lakers in the 2023 NBA Playoffs?Ṁ4
- Will the #6 Golden State Warriors win Game 6 of the West Semifinals against the #7 LA Lakers in the 2023 NBA Playoffs?Ṁ3