Hearthstone Top 1
3
435Ṁ151
resolved Feb 20
100%0.1%
Murloc Tidecaller Druid
0.1%
Naturalize Druid
7%
Patches the Pirate Warrior
0.1%
Arcane Missiles Mage
9%
Swipe Druid
4%
Dar'Khan Drathir Warlock
0.0%
Dar'Khan Drathir Druid (DQed)
13%
Heavy Plate Warrior
4%
Mind Blast Priest
30%
Soulfire Warlock
34%Other

Top 1 is a Hearthstone format similar to Top 2. For the purposes of this question, we will make the rules a bit similar to MTG's 3-card blind:

  • A deck consists of 30 copies of the same card

  • Both players are aware of each other's hands at all times

  • Random effects are determined by the player whose turn it is not

Submissions must be the name of a wild-legal card, and a class in which that card can be legally played. At market close, I will run a hypothetical tournament, with each deck being played in proportion to its closing probability, and with all games being played with perfect strategy.

The winner will be whichever deck has the biggest winrate in this hypothetical tournament.

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Sorry resolving this is taking a while, thinking through all these pairings is hard.

Ok, I'm 99% sure it comes down to whether Murloc Tidecaller beats Soulfire both on the turn and on the draw. If it does, it wins the tournament, if not, Patches wins - everything else does worse in winrate than Patches. Trouble is, this one matchup is very tough to think through.

@BoltonBailey OK I think the Murloc Tidecaller wins. The key factor seems to be making sure the Warlock can't get card advantage - if the Warlock doesn't start going face, the Murloc can play out their hand turn 3 or 4. The warlock has to discard a lot of cards to clear the board, and between having to deal with topdecks and the hero power, I don't think the warlock is eventually able to burst the druid down before they run out of cards/health.

@BoltonBailey Pretty sure this beats swipe

@BoltonBailey The druid on the coin can go

T2: HP for 1

T3: HP for 1

T4: Swipe for 4

T5: Swipe for 4

T6: Swipe + HP for 5

T7: Coin + 2x Swipe for 8

T8: 2x Swipe for 8

Which is 31, but by this time, the warlock has healed for 6, and will keep healing 6 per turn, more if the druid doesn't clear, and the game gets away from the druid.

@BoltonBailey yeah I haven't played hearthstone in years, not surprised my tech is outdated

@Odoacre but wouldn't Dar'Khan Drathir get wrecked by any low cost minion based deck ?

@Odoacre True, I think it would lose to Patches

@BoltonBailey I've added Dar'Khan Drathir Druid as well, which should win over Warlock since the hero power actually does something useful

@Odoacre Sorry, but I think I should DQ that answer - it's a warlock card, so I shouldn't be able to run it in druid.

@BoltonBailey (I might have ninja edited that rule into the criteria soon after the market was made)

@BoltonBailey

sorry, had missed the

and a class in which that card can be legally played

clause

@Odoacre If you hadn't refreshed the market it's possible it wasn't there when you bought, looks like you sold though, so I guess no harm done.

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