Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the majority opinion of participants regarding who is perceived as responsible for the major wars occurring worldwide. Participants will vote on the provided options, and the option receiving the highest number of votes will be deemed the consensus choice. The market will resolve accordingly.

Background

As of July 2025, several significant conflicts are ongoing globally:

• Russia–Ukraine War: Initiated in February 2022, this conflict has led to extensive destruction and displacement in Ukraine.

• Israel–Gaza Conflict: Reignited in October 2023, resulting in high civilian casualties and regional instability.

• Myanmar Civil War: Following a military coup in 2021, ongoing clashes between the military junta and various resistance groups have caused significant humanitarian crises.

• Sudan Civil War: Since April 2023, internal conflicts between military factions have led to widespread displacement and famine conditions.

• Eastern Congo Insurgency: The M23 rebel group's activities have intensified, leading to humanitarian challenges in the region.

Considerations

When evaluating responsibility for these conflicts, participants may consider:

• Geopolitical Dynamics: The roles of major powers, such as the USA, in influencing or intervening in these conflicts.

• Regional Actors: The involvement of countries like Israel and entities within the Middle East in regional conflicts.

• Non-Human Factors: Philosophical or theological perspectives attributing events to entities like God or the Devil.

• Extraterrestrial Theories: Speculative ideas involving aliens, though lacking empirical evidence.

Participants should weigh these factors based on available information and personal perspectives when casting their votes.