Planecrash has been paused since July 24, and the tentative Aug 9 date for resuming it was pushed back to a new tentative date of Aug 21 (https://glowfic.com/replies/1843665#reply-1843665). This question resolves to YES if a tag continuing the story is posted with a timestamp on or before Aug 21. The tag must continue the main story - side threads like "Abrogail Thrune's terrible terrible relationship advice column" or "flashback: this is not a threat" would not count. A tag simply pushing back the date again will also not count, even if it has in-world flavor (e.g. a post by Otolmens worrying about the time dilation we're experiencing).
I will not bet in this market.
1,000
1.00Well this is looking like a pretty clear NO based on the latest update, but I will resolve this one when I wake up tomorrow since right now it's not midnight Pacific time. In the meantime, time to start betting on the next ETA! https://manifold.markets/BenjaminCosman/planecrash-will-the-story-resume-by-1d8822080229
@horse Perhaps I should have done it that way, but at this point I'd need a stronger reason to change the resolution criteria. I suspect this hardly affects the probability anyway.