Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7. Will he?

This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points. It resolves no otherwise.

I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.

I may trade on this market.