Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more?
31
Ṁ1kṀ13kNov 4
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7. Will he?
This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points. It resolves no otherwise.
I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
I may trade on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 5% or more?
39% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more?
47% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win Michigan senate 2026 election?
70% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win by 100,000 votes or more?
62% chance
Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more?
36% chance
What percentage of the Black vote will Abdul El-Sayed get?
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
70% chance
What percent of the vote will Abdul El-Sayed get in Highland Park?
Oakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent