Similar to previous question: https://manifold.markets/Bebop/will-i-get-to-10000month-by-mid-apr

I will create more questions for different questions later

If you bet NO I am curious about your reasoning in the comments.

If you want more info added, ask in the comments as well, if I am ok with sharing it, I will add it to the description.

To make it more fun, and since I have to believe in myself, I will always buy YES especially when it's low, BUT I will only allow myself to sell shares if the liquidity reaches $5000+ as a way to stabilize the market.

In the previous question I invested more than 50% of my net worth, and even though I lost it all, i honestly resolved the question:

Background/Context

I've been self-employed for the last 3.5 years in the YouTube space as my own agency with my friends and a Youtube Strategist with 50M+ views. I've been learning about business for a long time.

I've done high school, but have decided to not go to university.

During that time my personal highest earning month was around $3,000.
The highest that the agency itself earned was around $6,000.

My highest income month from strategy work etc was ~$6,000

Right now I have around 2,500 followers on Twitter.

My current income sources:

(At the time market was opened)

1. Agency client (been with him for 2 years now): consistent minimum $125/mo. On good months $300.

   • I believe this will increase over time as we're going to be posting more videos and we're venturing into a new niche that has more potential right now.

   • However he may not be my main time priority

2. Consultation client: $2,400 but based on packages rather than monthly

   • Income here is inconsistent as it depends on when he wants to do calls, therefore I can't control how frequently I get paid.

   • Right now it's about every ~2 months, Likely will be increased as we're slowing getting the production cycle more consistent

My plan

My actual mid-term goal (6-9 months) is to establish myself as one of the biggest authorities in the niche, I plan to do so by doing a programme/challenge that hasn't been ever done before.

To do so, I will need to:

1. Learn even more about how to start, manage, automate and grow YT channels

2. Have at least ~5 of my own YT channels

3. Have at least 5k/mo to invest into this and other channels

To create those ~5 channels I will also need at least 2k-4k/mo to invest into starting them (editors, thumbnail designers etc) and other learning opportunities (coaches etc)

This makes cash ($15k or 4-5k/mo) my shorter-term goal (3-6 months), meanwhile learning is also a priority.

1. First I will try to partner with an expert who already does this, to manage channels he will invest in. (He said he'll get back to me in January)

   • This will be most ideal if he accepts, since I get to both earn and learn

2. Alternatively, I will use my existing income sources + additional freelancing that I am specialized in (thumbnail concept ideas etc), for $200-$250 per video.

   • I will first reach out to 2-3 people to do it for free, then use them as case studies to post on my Twitter, from there I will find more and more clients.

   • This has the potential of up to around 5k/mo if i get enough regular clients and depending on my time investment
     

3. If either 1. or 2. are successful, OR i simply save up from my existing income (my monthly expenses are $125/mo), I will start my own channels asap.
   
   Each channel has the potential to earn anywhere from $1,000 up to $10,000+/month.

Updates

Here I will be posting updates below as i progress

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

• My total monthly pre-tax profit from all sources reaches or exceeds $10,000 for at least 2 consecutive months.

• If I reach $10,000/mo in December only this also counts, but not if it's any other month.

• If any 2 months average is $10k+/mo that also counts, as imo that also signifies the same.

  • i.e month 1 = $5k, month 2 = $15k

I will post a screenshot of my bank statements for 2 relevant months IF I resolve YES (since I will only be buying YES).

I will count both the money still arriving and what has arrived in my account.

I will not be counting revenue, only pre-tax profit