Will the Robotaxi come out below $30,000?
61
1kṀ6449
2026
11%
chance

Elon said in the We, Robot announcement that they’re hoping for it to be below that price

Technology
AI
Tesla
Self-Driving Vehicles
Automotive
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Tesla's Robotaxi have a max capacity of 2 people?
50% chance
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029?
Will Robotaxis roll out in Austin as planned?
24% chance
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
54% chance
9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.
26% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2026?
96% chance
Will Tesla's robotaxi be involved in a motor vehicle collision within 90 days of launch?
47% chance
In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
5% chance
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029 (per capita) ?
Sort by:

For a similar market see:

Is the closing date going to be extended when this doesn't come out by the end of 2025?

@WrongoPhD Yes

sold Ṁ68 NO

Still think this is unlikely, but I did some BotEC that suggested this might be feasible if they cut the battery size to a fraction of a normal Tesla.

People are also trading

Will Tesla's Robotaxi have a max capacity of 2 people?
50% chance
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029?
Will Robotaxis roll out in Austin as planned?
24% chance
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025?
+3% 1d54% chance
9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.
26% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2026?
96% chance
Will Tesla's robotaxi be involved in a motor vehicle collision within 90 days of launch?
47% chance
In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
5% chance
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029 (per capita) ?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy