[experimental market]

What is this market for? It's for users that have a hard time being profitable on manifold, but would like to still make profits with their mana. Experienced users can help with this, and hearing their reasoning can help you improve your reasoning around market probabilities.

Check the comments. Experienced traders will sometimes share markets that are mispriced, ie you can profit on them by betting your mana. These traders might not find it worthwhile to bet on these markets because they resolve in too much time, or because they have better markets to spend their mana on (Risk-free interest rates != 0).

If you bet on a market because of a comment below, you are encouraged to state this, and tip the person that wrote the comment with 20% to 40% of the profits you made because of them. If you take all the "alpha" (fix the shared market to the correct price), you should say that so that others don't waste their time on that market.

This is a beginner friendly market, so you are welcome to ask questions. Some example might be "I think this market (with a link) is super overpriced, for this or that reason. Can someone let me know if they think I'm wrong?". If you have further questions, the [manifold discord](https://discord.com/invite/eHQBNBqXuh) is great for this.

Some extra details:

• If someone lies to steal people's mana, by saying false things about markets to enrich themselves, they will be banished and shamed. I'll also probably close this market and consider the experiment a failure.

• If I consider a comment with a free mana claim to be wrong but not malicious, I reserve the right to hide this comment so others don't see it.

• Please do not break site rules! Do not trick people into giving you quick profits at their expense.

• If you consider a free-mana claim to be wrong, comment under it with your reasoning. We can discuss the merits of it if they are uncertain.

• I strongly recommend against sharing markets or trading in markets that have 5year+ resolution dates. Shorter term (up to a year) is strongly encouraged.

Resolution Criterion: If 20 profit opportunities are shared, and someone comments under them saying they have taken them (without lying about this), before August, the market resolves YES.

Tipping tutorial: Press the ... at the top of a comment, you will see this menu:

You can click Tip and select the amount you want to send.