
For ``` I'll change my mind about: "X" ``` options:
Options resolve YES if my mind was changed, either within this comment section or outside of it. "Changing my mind" doesn't require flipping from definite agreement to definite disagreement, but a gotcha about how something has a slight asterisk I hadn't noticed is not enough. If ambiguous, may, but rarely will, resolve to a percentage.
Resolves NO if/when I am sufficiently confident that my mind will not be changed in the next months such that leaving the option open would be overly distortionary bc of interest rates and such. There may be a better way to settle an option NO. I welcome anyone to propose a better alternative.
For ```Stronger (YES) or Weaker (NO) belief in X``` options:
Resolves YES if I end up having a significantly higher credence in the proposition represented by the letter X being true, and resolves NO if I have a significantly lower credence of the said proposition.
I won't bet on an option unless it's within a minute of its creation or its resolution. (I'll also try my best to respect things like, not buying through a limit order when this happens)
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ18 | |
2 | Ṁ11 | |
3 | Ṁ4 | |
4 | Ṁ4 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |