Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the matches played by the Netherlands and Morocco men's national soccer teams during the 2026 FIFA World Cup (June 11 – July 19, 2026), as recorded by the official FIFA tournament data.

Only one option will resolve to YES based on the following hierarchical rules:

1. "My prediction: they'll meet before the final." resolves YES if the Netherlands and Morocco play against each other in any official match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup other than the Final. This includes the Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, or the Third-Place Playoff. (If they play each other prior to the Final, this option takes precedence and resolves YES, regardless of whether one or both subsequently reach the final).

2. "That would be an amazing final. Netherlands to win." resolves YES if the Netherlands and Morocco play against each other only in the Final, and the Netherlands wins the match (including via extra time or penalty shootout).

3. "That would be an amazing final. Morocco to win." resolves YES if the Netherlands and Morocco play against each other only in the Final, and Morocco wins the match (including via extra time or penalty shootout).

4. "One of these teams will make the final, but not both" resolves YES if the Netherlands and Morocco do not play each other at any point during the tournament, and exactly one of the two teams plays in the Final.

5. "No way. Neither of these teams will make the final" resolves YES if the Netherlands and Morocco do not play each other at any point during the tournament, and neither team plays in the Final.

If the tournament is canceled or abandoned before these outcomes can be determined, the market will resolve N/A.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is currently underway in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It is the first edition to feature an expanded 48-team format.

For the group stage:

• Morocco competes in Group C alongside Brazil, Haiti, and Scotland.

• The Netherlands competes in Group F alongside Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia.

Because they are in different groups, they cannot meet during the group stage. They can only play each other if both qualify for the knockout stage (which begins with the Round of 32 on June 28) and the tournament bracket brings them together.

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