This can be resolved to NO

@KevinBurke Not a chance, buddy

@lucentbruce Wait no I just read the title, I'm an idiot

That's a big spike! here I was looking for what breaking news could possibly be responsible

@HastingsGreer The breaking news would have to involve the creation of time travel

@SemioticRivalry I should put in 99%/1% limit orders to exploit this sort of mistake.

@lucentbruce lmao

@AviS please resolve this soon, leagues will end soon.

@zzlk The market is at 0% so resolving won't change your net worth, AFAIK

@RemiRampin but it denies you the opportunity to invest in other markets, and if you have a large position then it can't sell without a decent amount of slippage.

Ok speculation is over

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/legislation/2023/09/30/press-release-bill-signed-h-r-5860/

Press Release: Bill Signed: H.R. 5860 | The White House

On Saturday, September 30, 2023, the President signed into law: H.R. 5860, which provides fiscal year appropriations to Federal agencies through November 17, 2023, for continuing projects of the Federal Government and extends several expiring authorities. ###

@parhizj Very close indeed. I don't regret my bets. Good market everyone

@SemioticRivalry Michael's Bot ruined that perfect 0%

Bought in a tiny bit in case Biden signs after midnight

@NikitaSokolsky It's always wise to bet on the sleepiness of Sleepy Joe

@SemioticRivalry 1 hour left... I was reading about the enrollment process and delivery to the president's desk. Are you thinking this won't happen in the next hour?

@parhizj I think there is definitely a greater than 5% chance of that, yes. I think it's interesting that there's been basically no time decay here.

Will this market resolve based on exactly what time the tweet about biden signing the bill is posted?

@Joshua I don't think so, it should resolve based on whether there's a government shutdown or not, not whether it gets tweeted or reported on before midnight.

So as long as Biden signs it before midnight I think that means there's no shutdown and so this should resolve no.

@AviS

I think Jamaal Bowman had a YES bet that he really didn't want to lose🤣

It's fully passed in the senate now, just waiting on the white house.

@zzlk @AviS are you ready to resolve it when Joe signs it? Leagues are ending potentially very soon after midnight.

@zzlk How do you think it should be resolved if Biden signs it at 8am tomorrow morning?

@Domer Just imagining the headlines if there's a technical govt shutdown because "sleepy Joe" went to bed early.

@Domer I hope that doesn't happen. Joe is on standby right now waiting to sign it, so it should happen very soon, hopefully by midnight.

To answer your question, probably "yes".