Automatic Osprey's calibration
Grade: C, Score: -6.6
Resolution probability
Probability after bet
Interpretation
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when Automatic Osprey bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
YES bets
NO bets
3 largest bets for each bucket
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
- Will Forsen beat xQc's Record before Destiny Finishes the Factorio Secret Ending? https://clips.twitch.tv/SingleAlluringYESṀ45
- Will the Dan Stock market average 75% or above during the month of June?YESṀ35
- Will Destiny address the leak that he was so intimate with Lauren Southern he nearly broke up with Melina for her?NOṀ20
80%
90%