1
Will @NoaNabeshima be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?
27
closes 2024
88%
chance

Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.

Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.

Austin's notes: @NoaNabeshima often creates high-quality and thoughtful markets and content. He's also helped with providing expertise and sample code for Manifold's usage of LLMs, and in general are consistently friendly and kind. I do feel a bit biased though as I've met Noa often in real life; and it's possible he doesn't meet a notability bar (insofar as there is one?) with lower-traffic'ed markets?

As usual, I'd love to hear people weigh in on this!

Sort by:
Chad avatar
Chadbought Ṁ10 of YES

What does Manifold's usage of LLMs mean here 👀👀👀

Chad avatar
Chad

I thought the account was a She cuz of the name commonly used as a female name in my country

xyz avatar
Yoav

@Chad It's unclear, it could either be their name or a mis-transliteration of Noah.

NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshima

@xyz it's my name! it's an intentional transliteration from Japanese so that my name can go freely back and forth between Japanese and English (my dad is Japanese and my mom is American).

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴

@NoaNabeshima excellent use of dodging the topic while answering a specific point 😂😂👍

still, super cool that there's overlap with Noah and のあ / ノア / (whatever the kanji is)! what's the meaning in Japanese?

NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshima (edited)

@Stralor I think there was no intended meaning? Online some people seem to think it could mean "my love" in Japanese which I like.

I was told when I was a kid that my name was in hiragana のあ and not katakana because I'm partially foreign or something like that.

NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshima

@NoaNabeshima wait this is totally wrong, it's hiragana because I'm Japanese

I'm embarrassed, oh well

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴is predicting YES at 90%

@NoaNabeshima we all make silly mistakes like that!

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsbought Ṁ10 of YES

He's got my vote

citrinitas avatar
Antonbought Ṁ10 of YES

+1

Related markets

Will @Zardoru be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?52%
Will @Lorxus be trustworthyish by the end of 2023?25%
Will Hiroyuki Nishimura own 4chan by the end of 2023?83%
Will @LexFridman get a Trustworthy (ish) badge in 2023?28%
Will @jojothebanker be on the all time leaderboard by the end of 2023?1%
Will Togashi Yoshihiro release a new chapter of Hunter x Hunter in 2023?60%
Will the FairlyRandom bot have good uptime in 2023?92%
Will Nathan Young fall out of the top 10 creators chart at any point in 2023?75%
Will @AnaArsonist hit 1k followers before the end of 2023?76%
Will Nathan be on stream by the end of the year?49%
Will Gwar Gura graduate from Hololive before the end of 2023?40%
Will Hololive vtuber Hakui Koyori stream more than 600 times in 2023?40%
Will @Aella be a guest on the Crystal Ballin' podcast in 2023?12%
Will @Wobbles fall out of the top 10 creators chart at any point in 2023?49%
Will Ian aka IrishLaddie aka Vaush Reenter Orbit Before the End of 2023?30%
Will Arjun Erigaisi achieve an official rating of >2800 at any point in 2023?19%
Will @Mira solve the 2023 Sudoku challenge?26%
Will a new generation of Hololive's English branch debut before August 1st, 2023?43%
Will any of the top 10 Vtubers in the list (in description) cease activity by 2024 Jan, 2nd?43%
Will Dommaraju Gukesh achieve an official rating of >2800 at any point in 2023?12%