Will @ManifoldDream have received more than M$1000 in tips in a week?
13
340แน€8601
resolved Oct 26
Resolved
YES

Resolves to yes if by close date, @ManifoldDream's tipped balance exceeds M$1000 (aka total balance of M$2000 or more

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แน€1,000
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๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€541
2แน€92
3แน€43
4แน€11
5แน€2
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predictedNO

@GeorgeVii Out of curiosity, did you end up actually making a profit on this?

predictedYES

@IsaacKing As far as I can tell I made M$541 of profit ๐Ÿ˜›

That is, I don't know I have more net mana than I did before this market, but it never really mattered to me. I got profit at close to a 1:1 conversion rate with M$.
Idk what the exchange rate would be if there was one; but it would be significantly higher than 1 to 1 in my estimation.

predictedYES

@GeorgeVii ๐Ÿค” Maybe it would break manifold in some meaningful way if such a conversion did exist. I haven't much thought about it yet

predictedNO

@GeorgeVii Ah, I see. You were going for leaderboard profit, not net mana gain. I hadn't considered that.

predictedYES

No no, either Austin is screwing with me lol or these tips are taking hours to register

predictedYES

@GeorgeVii Oh there we go, whew! Thought I might have to quickly sell stuffs

predictedNO

Well it looks like I underestimated how much @GeorgeVii was willing to put in to this. Will probably need to spend 400 or 500 on tips before close get this to YES. Current position wins you 520-ish. So net 20 to 120 profit on like 4500 investment. Do you have a script to make the tips or will you manually curate which dreams are rewarded?

Only two days left and the bot is less than halfway there - it looks like some whales might be speculating on someone unilaterally dumping in a bunch of M$ in tips? At a glance this can't possibly be that profitable of a strategy, but maybe whales are happy to pay eg M$1000 in tips to earn M$100 in profit...

@Austin It won't take many NO bets before the amount to be made buying YES is greater than the cost to cause this market to resolve to YES.

@Austin Will you pledge to not tip the bot?

predictedNO

@wasabipesto No! But I don't plan on manipulating this market, I'll probably tip the bot once or twice whenever I see a particularly good image generated

predictedNO

@Austin I should also note that since @ManifoldDream has created a market, it will also get mana from unique traders (and already has received M$10 in that way, since the initial liquidity provision counts as such). Please make sure you subtract that value when calculating.

@wasabipesto Aren't unique trader bonuses retroactively removed when a market resolves N/A?

predictedNO

@IsaacKing That's a good question, I'm not sure!

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Will @ManifoldDream have received more than M$1000 in tips in a week?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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