How many blog posts will lsusr write in 30 days? [% * 20]
5
10
Ṁ141Ṁ103
resolved Jul 1
Resolved as
30%1D
1W
1M
ALL
lsusr just came out with a huge list of blog post ideas: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ycdReQq6yPw69q5Ha/here-s-a-list-of-some-of-my-ideas-for-blog-posts
Bet on how many new posts he'll write! I'll resolve this market to the number of blog posts listed on https://www.lsusr.com/, that have been added between this market's creation and resolution. Aka number of posts listed above "Here's a List of Some of my Ideas for Blog Posts".
Resolving to (number of posts / 20), e.g. if he writes 15 posts this market resolves to 75%. If more than 20, this market resolves to 100% aka YES.
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Selling, There has only been 1 blog post since the creation of this market.
@Austin: What was most recent post (=last post not counted) on market creation? https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ycdReQq6yPw69q5Ha/here-s-a-list-of-some-of-my-ideas-for-blog-posts and the creation of this market are on the same day depending on timezone.
According to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LsyuX5rLsApZFdQGp/bet-on-rare-undesirable-outcomes-when-seeding-a-prediction, I should bet on outcomes that are undesirable. Having fewer lsusr blog posts would be undesirable, so I'm betting on it!
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