60
Ṁ43k
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO
January 2024
Resolved
NO
February 2024
Resolved
NO
Q4 2024
Resolved
NO
April 2024
Resolved
NO
Q3 2024
Resolved
YES
Q1 2024
Resolved
YES
2024
Resolved
YES
March 2024

This question resolves to the next respective time period during which a new video is uploaded by Natalie Wynn to the ContraPoints YouTube channel.

Resolves to N/A if no new video is released by the year 2030.

EDIT: If multiple time periods are applicable (e.g. 2024 & January 2024) then the question will resolve Yes for both of those time periods. Thank you @shankypanky for asking about that!

EDIT 2: All time ranges will be based on EST.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ684
2Ṁ650
3Ṁ534
4Ṁ284
5Ṁ188
Sort by:
bought Ṁ4 Q4 2024 YES

Jan and Feb resolved no and the market continued. We don't yet know if there is a video for Q3 and Q4 so does this continue for those or do these resolve no now there has been one video release?

@ChristopherRandles nope. "next release a new video" means this resolves when she releases a video, which she did

QUEEN

@Najawin Vaush 👏 reference 👏 lets 👏 go. 👏

rip website

ready to resolve March, 2024, and Q1 2024 pls :)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqloPw5wp48&t=95s

I certainly shouldn't have dumped my No shares when she announced the release date.

The Contra release date curse is real.

@Athena I've lost so much mana I didn't realise how many markets I was holding optimistic positions in lol

@Athena and even now I'm on edge thinking she might do the unthinkable and post a vid super late but 🛐

@shankypanky She usually releases videos in the afternoon or evening. The last 2 were released at 5 and 6 PM EST.
I can't see her staying up to upload this, even if she got it rendered (which would have happening sometime in the two hours or so based on her saying that it was a 5 hour render at 3:17PM)

@Athena heck now I'm more stressed though

bought Ṁ1,000 March 2024 YES

@Athena I dearly love Contra, but I just don't expect her to release things in a timely manner.

@Athena Have you considered being more absent-minded? I meant to dump my march shares but forgot, and made a profit.

Kevin ZielnickiboughtṀ5February 2024 NO

@kjz Why'd you flip from YES to NO?

@Athena just hedging a bit for my NO shares on March and April, I still think Feb is most likely (though it becomes a little less likely with each passing day)

How does this resolve if it's in a month in 2024? would it resolve yes for both January and 2024 if she releases in the next couple of days?

@shankypanky Yes, exactly.

You can change the default sort so that they are ordered by date!

@Jonathan also in the future, for markets like this that will only resolve to one option, be sure to check the "one option will be chosen" box when creating the market

@Tumbles I did that so that people can bet by year or month, but honestly by month probably would have been a better idea.

More related questions