Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if TikTok is banned in Denmark on March 1, 2026. Resolution is based on whether TikTok is inaccessible to the general public in Denmark on that date. Denmark's ban on social media access for individuals under the age of 16 went into effect on February 1st, 2026, but this applies only to minors. A YES resolution requires a complete nationwide ban affecting all users, not merely age-restricted access.

Background

In March 2023, Denmark's Ministry of Defence banned TikTok on work devices, and all seven of Denmark's universities have imposed a TikTok ban on their employees. However, these restrictions were limited to government and institutional use. Denmark is set to ban social media platforms for children under 15. The Danish government announced in November 2025 that it had secured support for the ban from three governing coalition parties and two opposition parties in parliament. The government's plans could become law as soon as mid-2026. Usage of platforms like TikTok, Instagram and Snapchat among those under 16 has demonstrably decreased by approximately 70%, according to the Danish Media Authority following the February 2026 implementation.

Considerations

The question's date of "1 marts" (March 1) falls shortly after the age-restricted ban took effect on February 1, 2026. A complete nationwide ban would represent a significant escalation beyond current policy, which targets minors. A ban won't take effect immediately. Allied lawmakers on the issue from across the political spectrum who make up a majority in parliament will likely take months to pass relevant legislation.

This description was generated by AI.