Will NO foreign leader claim by 31 Dec 2028 that Vladimir Putin used impersonators, decoys, or body doubles of himself for foreign diplomacy?
Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if, by 31 December 2028 (23:59 UTC):
No sitting or former foreign head of state or head of government
Publicly claims that Vladimir Putin used impersonators, decoys, or body doubles of himself, and
That such impersonators/decoys/body doubles:
Conducted foreign diplomatic negotiations, or
Officially represented Russia at international summits or meetings with foreign leaders.
Resolves NO if
At least one foreign leader makes such a claim before the deadline.
Does NOT count
Statements referring only to security decoys without diplomatic representation;
Claims limited to domestic events or appearances;
Claims by journalists, intelligence officials, diplomats, MPs, or anonymous sources.
Speculative, sarcastic, or indirect remarks count only if the leader does not later state that the comment was a joke, sarcasm, or otherwise retract or immediately clarify the wording.
P.S.: Resolves Yes:
The claimant’s status as a foreign leader cannot be verified.
Notes
“Foreign leader” = non-Russian head of state or government.
A single qualifying claim resolves the market NO
Silence from all leaders through the deadline resolves YES